FK Pardubice 0-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 33% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.43
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
15.4 Crosses 23.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.78 xG 2.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
226 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 5-2 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
05.03.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEKK
26.10.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
17.03.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
07.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
28.05.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-4 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
0-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.07 xG 1.59
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
193 Passes 395
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava squeezed past FK Pardubice 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Banik Ostrava found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 36% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 64%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.07 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Pardubice and 2.33 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava?

FK Pardubice 0-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 36%, draw 27%, Banik Ostrava 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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