FK Pardubice 0-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.75
2-3 Goals
46%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 24% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 58%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.19/3.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.22
+3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
6.0 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
28.05.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-4 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
04.03.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
11.09.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
11.12.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
15.08.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
0-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
0.69 xG 1.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
221 Passes 377
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 38
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava squeezed past FK Pardubice 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 40% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 60%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 0.69 to 1.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Banik Ostrava's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 2.17 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava?

FK Pardubice 0-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 22%, draw 28%, Banik Ostrava 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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