Sparta Prag 2-1 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.28
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
6.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.15 — our 24% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-19.4pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.1pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
1.95/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.73
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
19.1 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
18.03.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
01.10.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
30.04.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
18.12.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
21.08.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-1
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.54 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
365 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag squeezed past Hradec Kralove 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 57% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 43%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.54 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.50 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Hradec Kralove?

Sparta Prag 2-1 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 55%, draw 26%, Hradec Kralove 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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