Esteghlal FC 0-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+12.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esteghlal FC
0-1
AWAY Muharraq
0.29 xG 1.07
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 10
324 Passes 122
79% Pass Accuracy 59%
15 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Esteghlal FC vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq nicked a narrow win over Esteghlal FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Esteghlal FC had 67% of the ball to Muharraq's 33%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.29 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Esteghlal FC vs Muharraq?

Esteghlal FC 0-1 Muharraq in the AFCŞL2 on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal FC vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal FC 48%, draw 20%, Muharraq 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Esteghlal FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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