Istiqlol 2-0 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 1 Oct 2025

Istiqlol
2-0 HT 0-0
FC Goa
📅01/10/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Istiqlol vs FC Goa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istiqlol v FC Goa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istiqlol EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Istiqlol 2-0 FC Goa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istiqlol
2-0
AWAY FC Goa
0.80 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
388 Passes 277
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Istiqlol vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istiqlol beat FC Goa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Istiqlol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Istiqlol had 57% of the ball to FC Goa's 43%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.80 to 0.64.

What was the final score of Istiqlol vs FC Goa?

Istiqlol 2-0 FC Goa in the AFCŞL2 on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istiqlol vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istiqlol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Istiqlol 42%, draw 31%, FC Goa 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istiqlol), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Istiqlol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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