Cariari Pococi 0-2 Carmelita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.7pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cariari Pococi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmelita EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cariari Pococi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Carmelita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.09.2025 Carmelita Carmelita 1-1 HT 0-0 Cariari Pococi Cariari Pococi KOSTK
23.01.2021 Carmelita Carmelita 2-1 HT 0-1 Cariari Pococi Cariari Pococi KOSB
POST-MATCH Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmelita saw off Cariari Pococi 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cariari Pococi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carmelita led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cariari Pococi and 1.50 for Carmelita.

What was the final score of Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita?

Cariari Pococi 0-2 Carmelita in the Costa Rica - Cup on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cariari Pococi vs Carmelita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cariari Pococi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cariari Pococi 42%, draw 34%, Carmelita 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cariari Pococi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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