Carmelita 1-1 Cariari Pococi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmelita EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cariari Pococi EU Bookmakers 37%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmelita
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cariari Pococi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.01.2021 Carmelita Carmelita 2-1 HT 0-1 Cariari Pococi Cariari Pococi KOSB
POST-MATCH Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmelita and Cariari Pococi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi?

Carmelita 1-1 Cariari Pococi in the Costa Rica - Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cariari Pococi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carmelita 38%, draw 22%, Cariari Pococi 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cariari Pococi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cariari Pococi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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