Sporting San Jose 4-1 Guadalupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.5pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Guadalupe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 2-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
09.08.2024 Guadalupe Guadalupe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTK
25.03.2023 Guadalupe Guadalupe 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
26.01.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 1-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
22.08.2022 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 4-2 HT 3-1 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
21.07.2022 Guadalupe Guadalupe 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Guadalupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose cruised past Guadalupe 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting San Jose as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting San Jose and 1.00 for Guadalupe.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Guadalupe?

Sporting San Jose 4-1 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Guadalupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 57%, draw 23%, Guadalupe 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting San Jose) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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