Cusco FC 4-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.74
No
51%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso The Market 29%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.60 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.09
1.20 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.48
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.0 Crosses 15.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.42 xG 1.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 Passes 180
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-3 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
29.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
18.02.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
17.09.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.04.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
4-0
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.69 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
326 Passes 343
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 21
5 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Cusco FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cusco FC cruised past Deportivo Garcilaso 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 49%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.

Under the surface, Cusco FC had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 52%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.69 to 0.65.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Cusco FC and 0.80 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

Cusco FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso Result & Final Score

Cusco FC 4-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cusco FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 48%, draw 25%, Deportivo Garcilaso 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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