Cusco FC 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.42/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.22
+28% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
15.8 Crosses 20.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.83 xG 1.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
232 Passes 194
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.04.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
0.73 xG 0.51
76% Ball Possession 24%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
334 Passes 67
86% Pass Accuracy 53%
11 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC edged past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Cusco FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 76% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 24%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.73 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cusco FC and 1.50 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Cusco FC 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 40%, draw 27%, Deportivo Garcilaso 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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