Universitario vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Universitario v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Universitario
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Melgar
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Universitario
PER
1-2
HT 0-1
Universitario
PER
1-2
HT 1-1
Universitario
PER
Universitario 2-0 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario beat Melgar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Universitario had 53% of the ball to Melgar's 47%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.85 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitario and 0.83 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Universitario vs Melgar?
Universitario 2-0 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Universitario vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Universitario 53%, draw 25%, Melgar 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.