Union Comercio vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Comercio v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Union Comercio vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Union Comercio
PER
1-3
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
2-3
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
PER
1-3
HT 1-2
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
PER
Union Comercio 1-3 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima got the better of Union Comercio 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Comercio had 46% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 54%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.04 to 1.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Comercio and 2.50 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Alianza Lima?
Union Comercio 1-3 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 20%, draw 27%, Alianza Lima 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.