Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.83
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
20%
4.37
X/2
7%
6.26
X/X
15%
3.28
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
5.57
2/X
8%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +8%
1.29/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.20
-10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.6 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mallorca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
03.12.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
19.04.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.08.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
15.02.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
29.09.2019 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-0
AWAY Mallorca
1.16 xG 0.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
228 Passes 227
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves squeezed past Mallorca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 52% of the ball to Mallorca's 48%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.16 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.83 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca?

Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 41%, draw 29%, Mallorca 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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