Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Feb 2024

Deportivo Alaves
1-1 HT 0-0
Mallorca
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.41
Over 2.5
43%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
6.95
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
21%
3.8
X/2
12%
8.51
X/X
9%
3.34
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
8.06
2/X
9%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
67%
-9.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
33%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.2pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.93/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.58
-16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
25.7 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mallorca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 280
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
19.04.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.08.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
15.02.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
29.09.2019 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
30.04.2016 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-1
AWAY Mallorca
0.47 xG 2.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
320 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 33
25 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Mallorca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 52% of the ball to Mallorca's 48%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.47 to 2.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.67 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca?

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 47%, draw 25%, Mallorca 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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