Barcelona 4-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Feb 2024

Barcelona
4-0 HT 1-0
Getafe
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Barcelona vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
14%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.75
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.4
X/1
16%
3.56
X/2
10%
13.7
X/X
13%
6.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
8%
10.9
2/X
7%
19.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-16.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.5pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.7pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
2.22/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.38
+36% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
458 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
16.8 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Barcelona vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Getafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.12 xG 0.72
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
667 Passes 214
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
16.04.2023 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
22.01.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
15.05.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
29.08.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 2-1 HT 2-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
22.04.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 5-2 HT 3-1 Getafe Getafe İS1

Barcelona 4-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
4-0
AWAY Getafe
3.17 xG 0.49
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
495 Passes 173
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona ran out comfortable winners over Getafe 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Barcelona had 68% of the ball to Getafe's 32%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.17 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barcelona and 0.50 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Getafe?

Barcelona 4-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 49%, draw 27%, Getafe 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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