Köln (K) 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 1 Nov 2024

Köln (K)
1-2 HT 1-2
Bayer Leverkusen (K)
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.1
Over
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln (K) v Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.89/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.95
-12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
23.2 Crosses 8.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0

Köln (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
307 Passes 345
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
18.03.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB

Köln (K) 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
1-2
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.70 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
278 Passes 200
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) squeezed past Köln (K) 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bayer Leverkusen (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Köln (K) had 57% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 43%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Köln (K) 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 37%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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