Hillerod 1-0 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.84
6+ Goals
7%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.88
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
17%
5.5
X/2
11%
5.28
X/X
8%
4.45
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.66
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +21%
1.21/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.19
-32% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +109%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.2 Crosses 17.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Hvidovre
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.66 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
320 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
27.01.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 7-2 HT 5-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre HAZ
25.02.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
05.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
1-0
AWAY Hvidovre
0.70 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
381 Passes 463
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod nicked a narrow win over Hvidovre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hillerod found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hillerod had 45% of the ball to Hvidovre's 55%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.20 — on chances, Hvidovre could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Hillerod and 1.50 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Hvidovre?

Hillerod 1-0 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 38%, draw 25%, Hvidovre 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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