Hillerod 7-2 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.43
Over 2.5
43%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
5.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
17%
2.6
6+ Goals
9%
6.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 32% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
30%
+12.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
45%
-12.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
38%
+20.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
62%
-20.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.4pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hvidovre
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.34
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
272 Passes 448
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
05.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
7-2
AWAY Hvidovre
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod cruised past Hvidovre 7-2. Half-time: 5-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hillerod had 48% of the ball to Hvidovre's 52%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hillerod and 2.00 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Hvidovre?

Hillerod 7-2 Hvidovre in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 42%, draw 25%, Hvidovre 33%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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