Universidad Catolica 1-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Catolica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Catolica
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.04.2010 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica LKU
10.03.2010 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 2-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile LKU
26.08.2005 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile CON CSA
12.08.2005 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica CON CSA
POST-MATCH Universidad Catolica vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile got the better of Universidad Catolica 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Catolica at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universidad Catolica and 1.00 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Universidad Catolica vs Universidad Chile?

Universidad Catolica 1-3 Universidad Chile in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Catolica vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universidad Catolica 44%, draw 25%, Universidad Chile 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Catolica) ✗ BTTS No
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