Sibenik 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.1
Over
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No Pick
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.95
2-3
40%
1.84
4-5
21%
3.14
6+
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.95 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.5pp
54%
Away Win
71%
-17.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 75%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.68/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.74
-2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
14.2 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.70 xG 1.37
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
197 Passes 620
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
05.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
11.03.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
06.11.2022 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.08.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-4
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.03 xG 1.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
1 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
282 Passes 436
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
2 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb ran out comfortable winners over Sibenik 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sibenik had 41% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 59%, shots finished 1-13, expected goals 0.03 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sibenik and 2.33 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Sibenik 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 20%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →