Sepahan 1-0 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.75
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
35%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-10.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.95/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.96
+48% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.05.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
24.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
28.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
10.09.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
02.06.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
13.01.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan squeezed past Aluminium Arak 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sepahan and 0.50 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Sepahan 1-0 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 45%, draw 32%, Aluminium Arak 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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