Aluminium Arak 0-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.55
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.82/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.75
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
198 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sepahan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
24.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
28.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
10.09.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
02.06.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
13.01.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
06.03.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-6 HT 1-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan squeezed past Aluminium Arak 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.33 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan?

Aluminium Arak 0-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 29%, draw 27%, Sepahan 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
28 May 2024
19:30 Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis Analysis →
19:30 Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Analysis →
19:30 Zob Ahan vs Sanat Naft Analysis →
19:30 Foolad Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin Analysis →
19:30 Tractor FC vs Malavan FC Analysis →
19:30 Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan Analysis →