Zob Ahan 2-1 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.66/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.96
-43% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zob Ahan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sanat Naft
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
25.12.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
30.12.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 2-2 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
23.01.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-1 HT 0-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
20.10.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
03.04.2021 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
01.12.2020 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Zob Ahan vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zob Ahan nicked a narrow win over Sanat Naft 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zob Ahan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zob Ahan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zob Ahan and 0.67 for Sanat Naft.

What was the final score of Zob Ahan vs Sanat Naft?

Zob Ahan 2-1 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zob Ahan vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zob Ahan 42%, draw 23%, Sanat Naft 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zob Ahan) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zob Ahan) ✗ Under 2.5
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