Mes Rafsanjan 2-3 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.31/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.80
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
06.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 HT 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
24.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
07.10.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
30.12.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
24.05.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
08.01.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Mes Rafsanjan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.67 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Mes Rafsanjan 2-3 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 31%, draw 28%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
28 May 2024
19:30 Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis Analysis →
19:30 Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan Analysis →
19:30 Zob Ahan vs Sanat Naft Analysis →
19:30 Foolad Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin Analysis →
19:30 Tractor FC vs Malavan FC Analysis →
19:30 Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan Analysis →