Tractor FC 3-1 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
5.86
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.15 — our 40% vs market 39.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-5.1pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.26/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.85
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tractor FC
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Malavan FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
25.12.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
15.04.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
27.10.2022 Tractor FC Tractor FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Tractor FC vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tractor FC saw off Malavan FC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tractor FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tractor FC and 0.67 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Tractor FC vs Malavan FC?

Tractor FC 3-1 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tractor FC vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tractor FC 48%, draw 28%, Malavan FC 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tractor FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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