Shams Azar Qazvin 1-3 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.27
No
67%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.6pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-6.8pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 66%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
0.96/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.54
+54% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
233 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Persepolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.12.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis got the better of Shams Azar Qazvin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-3 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 20%, draw 27%, Persepolis 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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