Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-15.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.3pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gol Gohar Sirjan EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.56/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.98
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gol Gohar Sirjan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.04.2024 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 2-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
24.12.2023 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 1-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
03.11.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
06.03.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 0-1 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
06.03.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
24.11.2021 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 0-3 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Gol Gohar Sirjan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Gol Gohar Sirjan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar Sirjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 52%, draw 27%, Gol Gohar Sirjan 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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