Vissel Kobe 2-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.4
X/1
17%
3.45
X/2
8%
14.55
X/X
11%
6.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.6
2/2
6%
12.15
2/X
8%
20.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.72/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.04
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.0 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
424 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
12.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 5-2 HT 4-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JPK
09.07.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
25.05.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
07.12.2019 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-1 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
01.06.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-0
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
2.09 xG 0.39
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
461 Passes 89
79% Pass Accuracy 43%
39 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe saw off Jubilo Iwata 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 74% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 26%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.09 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.67 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Jubilo Iwata?

Vissel Kobe 2-0 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 56%, draw 25%, Jubilo Iwata 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
1 Nov 2024
13:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →