Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.92
2-3 Goals
31%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
3.15
6+ Goals
17%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2
13%
6.11
X/X
7%
5.02
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -10%
1.61/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.03
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.1 Crosses 17.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
392 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
24.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
25.02.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
27.08.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
26.02.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
27.10.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-3
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.86 xG 0.43
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
499 Passes 166
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers got the better of Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kashima Antlers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 71% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 29%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.86 to 0.43 — on chances, Kawasaki Frontale could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 0.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 41%, draw 22%, Kashima Antlers 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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