Al Ahli 2-1 Al Shahaniya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 23% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/0.89
+8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
14.9 Crosses 11.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Shahaniya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
26.07.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
01.12.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
19.10.2019 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
16.04.2015 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
09.12.2014 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli squeezed past Al Shahaniya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli and 1.33 for Al Shahaniya.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya?

Al Ahli 2-1 Al Shahaniya in the Qatar League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 39%, draw 24%, Al Shahaniya 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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