Al Shahaniya 1-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.53
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
15%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.4pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+57% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
26.07.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
01.12.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
19.10.2019 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
16.04.2015 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
09.12.2014 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shahaniya and Al Ahli shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Al Shahaniya and 1.40 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli?

Al Shahaniya 1-1 Al Ahli in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 27%, draw 29%, Al Ahli 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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