Al Arabi 1-0 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.59
Over 2.5
44%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.43
No
61%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
5.65
2-3 Goals
43%
2.02
4-5 Goals
19%
2.62
6+ Goals
7%
6.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.65 — our 31% vs market 13.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
35%
+21.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
65%
-21.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
66%
-27.1pp
61%
BTTS No
34%
+27.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 40%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.77/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-22% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.65 xG 1.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 387
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
28.12.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
02.09.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-3 HT 1-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
02.03.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
26.09.2022 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
31.08.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi squeezed past Al Duhail SC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Arabi and 2.50 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Arabi 1-0 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 41%, draw 27%, Al Duhail SC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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