Monarcas Morelia 2-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Nov 2024

Monarcas Morelia
2-1 HT 1-0
Tlaxcala
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monarcas Morelia v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.17/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.05
-15% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tlaxcala
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 3-1 HT 2-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
21.09.2023 Tlaxcala 2-3 HT 0-2 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
07.01.2023 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
06.07.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
10.01.2022 Tlaxcala 0-4 HT 0-2 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
10.11.2021 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-3 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monarcas Morelia edged past Tlaxcala 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Monarcas Morelia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala?

Monarcas Morelia 2-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 38%, draw 25%, Tlaxcala 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Under 2.5
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