Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Tlaxcala
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
1-3
HT 0-1
Tlaxcala
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia saw off Tlaxcala 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
Monarcas Morelia 3-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 54%, draw 24%, Tlaxcala 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.