09/02/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Correcaminos UAT II vs Colima Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
20%
Draw
25%
43%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Correcaminos UAT II v Colima — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Correcaminos UAT II
EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Colima
EU Bookmakers 48%
-44% /
-44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-16%
/
-44%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
8
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
3
280 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
369 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Correcaminos UAT II vs Colima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Correcaminos UAT II squeezed past Colima 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Colima at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT II vs Colima?
Correcaminos UAT II 2-1 Colima in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT II vs Colima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Colima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT II 37%, draw 20%, Colima 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colima) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Colima)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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