Zamalek 3-2 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 33%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.50/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.15
+75% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
15.6 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
5W-1D-0L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
383 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
07.10.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
09.04.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
16.12.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
22.06.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
22.11.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
3-2
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.32 xG 2.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
436 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek squeezed past National Bank of Egypt 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 58% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 42%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.32 to 2.03 — on chances, National Bank of Egypt could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zamalek and 0.50 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs National Bank of Egypt?

Zamalek 3-2 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 42%, draw 29%, National Bank of Egypt 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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