ADT 1-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.50/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.70
-23% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
25.8 Crosses 13.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.88 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
261 Passes 218
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
12.08.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
10.03.2023 ADT ADT 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
26.08.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-1 ADT ADT PER
10.04.2022 ADT ADT 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
1-0
AWAY Sport Boys
1.16 xG 0.24
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
433 Passes 122
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADT vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT edged past Sport Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, ADT had 71% of the ball to Sport Boys's 29%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for ADT and 0.80 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of ADT vs Sport Boys?

ADT 1-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ADT 60%, draw 22%, Sport Boys 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ BTTS No
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