Sporting CP vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Estrela
POR
Sporting CP 5-1 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP cruised past Estrela 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Sporting CP had 64% of the ball to Estrela's 36%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.33 to 1.95.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting CP and 1.50 for Estrela.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Estrela?
Sporting CP 5-1 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 70%, draw 18%, Estrela 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.