Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.65
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.14
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
20%
4.39
X/2
6%
9.56
X/X
10%
6.37
2/1
10%
19.75
2/2
11%
6.17
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.78/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.50
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.5 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rostov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
293 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-4 HT 0-3 Rostov Rostov RUS
03.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
06.11.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
18.10.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
31.08.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
17.07.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Rostov
1.51 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
318 Passes 191
73% Pass Accuracy 61%
36 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow and Rostov couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 57% of the ball to Rostov's 43%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.51 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.83 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov?

Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 50%, draw 24%, Rostov 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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