Damac FC 2-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.44/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.50
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.2 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 0.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
438 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
17.08.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
2-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
3.70 xG 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
277 Passes 167
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC and Al Riyadh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Damac FC had 59% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 41%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 3.70 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Damac FC and 1.50 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Riyadh?

Damac FC 2-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 41%, draw 25%, Al Riyadh 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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