Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.55
2-3 Goals
33%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.84/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.43
+12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.7 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-4 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUSK
31.05.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SAKK
17.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
08.04.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUSK
08.02.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr HAZ
01.12.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
1-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.90 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr and Al Hilal Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Nassr had 51% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.90 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Nassr and 2.17 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 33%, draw 26%, Al Hilal Riyadh 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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