Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
AŞMPL
2-0
HT 1-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-2
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
0-4
HT 0-3
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh squeezed past Al Nassr 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Al Hilal Riyadh made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 58% of the ball to Al Nassr's 42%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.41 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 37%, draw 32%, Al Nassr 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.