Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Feb 2024

Al Hilal Riyadh
2-0 HT 2-0
Al Nassr
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.31
No
43%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
9.15
2-3 Goals
32%
2.43
4-5 Goals
31%
2.31
6+ Goals
15%
3.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.0pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.1pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
4.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+138% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Nassr
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.74 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
389 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
12.08.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMPL
18.04.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.12.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
03.03.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
21.02.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2-0
AWAY Al Nassr
1.17 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
282 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh beat Al Nassr 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 45% of the ball to Al Nassr's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.17 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.83 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr?

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Nassr in the Friendlies on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 44%, draw 30%, Al Nassr 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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