Dinamo Moscow 4-1 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 24%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.38/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.43 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
308 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
03.06.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
27.11.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
15.10.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
28.09.2022 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
26.10.2021 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs FK Orenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow swept aside FK Orenburg 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.17 for FK Orenburg.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs FK Orenburg?

Dinamo Moscow 4-1 FK Orenburg in the Friendlies on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs FK Orenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 48%, draw 24%, FK Orenburg 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5
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