08/02/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Austin vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
26%
Draw
29%
32%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Austin
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chicago Fire
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
296 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Austin vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Austin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Chicago Fire
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
0.63
xG
1.37
57%
Ball Possession
43%
9
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
8
6
Corners
4
437
Passes
316
87%
Pass Accuracy
84%
21
Box Touches
17
21
Crosses
15
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
25.05.2023
Austin
0-2
HT 0-1
Chicago Fire
ABDK
0-2
HT 0-1
Chicago Fire
ABDK
POST-MATCH
Austin vs Chicago Fire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chicago Fire squeezed past Austin 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Austin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Austin vs Chicago Fire?
Austin 0-1 Chicago Fire in the Friendlies on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Austin 42%, draw 26%, Chicago Fire 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Austin)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
8 Feb 2024