Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Super Cup, 8 Apr 2024

Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1 HT 2-0
Al Wehda
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Super Cup – 2025/2026

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.82
No
65%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.91
2-3 Goals
45%
1.94
4-5 Goals
20%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.91 — our 26% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-15.7pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
51%
-15.6pp
65%
BTTS No
49%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al Wehda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 15%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Wehda
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.85 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
363 Passes 279
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.02.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
28.08.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
05.03.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-2 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
06.12.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Wehda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Wehda
1.67 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
338 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Wehda 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 47% of the ball to Al Wehda's 53%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.67 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.83 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 54%, draw 26%, Al Wehda 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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