Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
29%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.33
No
46%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.23
2-3 Goals
39%
2.21
4-5 Goals
27%
2.44
6+ Goals
12%
4.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
29%
Away Win
39%
-10.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
71%
-17.3pp
46%
BTTS No
29%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.02/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.49
+19% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.0 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUSK
08.02.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr HAZ
01.12.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
12.08.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMPL
18.04.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.12.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
1-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.18 xG 2.24
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
231 Passes 512
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
28 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr and Al Hilal Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Nassr had 35% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.18 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Nassr and 2.00 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 40%, draw 31%, Al Hilal Riyadh 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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