Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.24
2-3 Goals
45%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
3.0
6+ Goals
7%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 29% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.8pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.36/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.93
-26% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
21.2 Crosses 20.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.50 xG 0.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
425 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.43 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
300 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq and Al Akhdoud couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ettifaq at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 51% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 49%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.43 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 46%, draw 22%, Al Akhdoud 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ettifaq), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
17 May 2024
19:15 Damac FC vs Al Fayha Analysis →
21:00 Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh Analysis →