Damac FC 1-1 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 25% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.28/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.34
-14% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
20.0 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-4 HT 0-2 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
10.02.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
25.08.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
23.05.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
20.11.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
14.12.2019 Damac FC Damac FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
1-1
AWAY Al Fayha
1.63 xG 1.95
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
509 Passes 183
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC and Al Fayha shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Damac FC had 69% of the ball to Al Fayha's 31%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.63 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Damac FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Damac FC and 0.67 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Fayha?

Damac FC 1-1 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 44%, draw 25%, Al Fayha 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC)
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