Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
AŞMPL
Al Nassr 1-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh cruised past Al Nassr 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Nassr had 44% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 56%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.71 to 1.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Nassr and 1.67 for Al Hilal Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Nassr 1-4 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 25%, draw 33%, Al Hilal Riyadh 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.